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FREE PREDICTIONS TODAY 28 06 2022
League: WORLD: Club Friendly Match
Match: Salzburg – Legia
Pick: 1 [Home Win] Odd: 1.65
Full Time Result: 3:2 Won
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How We Forecast Soccer Results
For each of our predictions today, we don't stop at indicating what we think that the final result will be. Rather, we provide a correct score for the end of the match (normal time excluding extra time and penalties) as well as half time results.
To do this, a combination of algorithmic and human factors are considered. For an upcoming game let's say that a prediction was made by using a heavy weighting on the last six results for both teams. It's something that many mathematical tips sites use as one of their major factors.
That approach doesn't make much sense if we're looking at, say, a new Premier League season, just after each team might have actively recruited new players and or changed their manager. We need to think much broader than this.
Head-to-head data can also be misleading in some situations. It might be that Team A has won every match against Team B over the last six meetings, for example. However, if those games were all played more than 10 years ago, and/or since that time an oil-rich nation has taken over Team B, this factor can lose almost all of its relevance.
Another way that some prediction sites get it wrong is when they don't consider motivational and emotive factors such as local derby rivalry, recent inflammatory comments made in the news, and relegation 'survival mode' team attitudes. No team wants to be relegated from the English Premier League, for example, and unexpected results are common toward the end of the season for those avoiding the difficult drop down to the Championship for the following season.
Similarly, if a team has the opportunity to win a certain number of matches to get into the Champions League the next season, you should probably expect them to push harder when it counts.